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Jakarta – BRIN Public Relations. The protracted Russia-Ukraine conflict since 24 February 2022 has sent not only shock waves throughout the world, but also has a systemic impact globally, especially in the stability of defense, security and the world economy. This also affects Indonesia, which has a high dependence on imports of wheat from Ukraine. To deal with this situation, the Deputy for Development Policy of the National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) will hold a Series X Development Talk which will carry the theme "Russia-Ukraine Conflict and the Future of International Geopolitical Order", at the Auditorium of the Widya Graha Building, 2nd Floor, BRIN Gatot Subroto Campus, Thursday (17/11). 

At a time when countries around the world are recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic, the world is faced with a situation of crisis threat as an implication of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The impacts that are felt the most in the world today, among others, are increasing food insecurity, limited access to energy, and rising inflation. These pose challenges to the world order and peace.

BRIN Deputy for Development Policy Mego Pinandito said that at the international level, Indonesia has endeavoured to play an active role as a mediator and realize a peace mission by making state visits to Ukraine on 29 June 2022 and Russia on 30 June 2022. Various efforts on sidelines of meetings in multilateral forums have also been made.

"Countries around the world are expected to provide a quick and accurate response, individually and collectively, to deal with the current turbulent world geopolitics. Indonesia in particular, also needs to protect its national interests, but still maintain the principle of a free and active foreign policy," said Mego.

Therefore, the National Research and Innovation Agency tries to observe and examine the issue of impact of the Russia and Ukraine conflict. This is based on the urgency to understand the latest developments and the current world geopolitical dynamics as implications of long-standing Russia-Ukraine conflict.

"We hope insights from experts’ presentations and discussions related to several important points about geopolitical dynamics that have become the world's attention in the past few months will be considered and pay attention to in order to formulate policies, and become a medium for understanding problems and various strategic issues that occur, not only at home, but also internationally now and in the future,” hoped Mego.

According to Mego, there are three major issues that need attention along with the implications of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. First, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has contributed to possible changes in the global geopolitical constellation, one of which is the possibility of a shift in the geopolitical map and the emergence of a new balance of power in the world. Such shift and change in the global geopolitical constellation are important to observe and Indonesia needs to be prepared for the implications this process brings.

Second, there will be possible use of nuclear force. In response to this, actors around the world, especially state actors, are experiencing uncertain conditions and need to start making projections on the possible use of nuclear in this conflict.

“For Indonesia, the possibility of using nuclear force is very important to be analyzed and observed, not only from the perspective of security and international law, but also from the perspective of science. Use of nuclear power is not only against humanitarian law, but also has major impacts such as loss of life, material losses, and health risks," said Mego.

Third, Mego continued, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has had a systemic impact throughout the world, especially to countries that have direct trade relations with Russia or Ukraine. The Indonesian government needs to mitigate the condition as the Russian-Ukrainian conflict can have further implications for Indonesia's national interests, not only in the economic and energy sectors, but also in the security and defense sectors.

In particular, said Mego, Indonesia needs to protect its national interests in several ways. This includes maintaining Indonesia's credibility at the international level and multilateral forums, by prioritizing a foreign policy that is free and active without being driven by any party; maintaining defense and security stability; maintaining the security of Indonesian food commodities, responding to and anticipating the possibility of using nuclear power in Indonesia's capacity as a developing and middle power country; and ensuring lasting peace in accordance with the mandate of the Preamble to the 1945 State Constitution.